四川盆地区域性暴雨过程的识别及时空变化特征
DOI:
作者:
作者单位:

作者简介:

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

基金项目:

公益性行业(气象)科研专项(GYHY201306022)、川气课题(2014青年10)资助


Recognition and Spatiotemporal Variation of Regional Rainstorm Processes over Sichuan Basin
Author:
Affiliation:

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 资源附件
  • |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    利用四川盆地104个县级气象站逐日降水量资料,建立了新的四川盆地区域性暴雨过程识别方法,并分析了其时空变化特征。研究结果表明:新的区域性暴雨过程识别方法可以排除孤立暴雨站点的影响,快速准确的识别出区域性暴雨过程。1961—2013年四川盆地共计发生区域性暴雨过程216次,与历史灾情资料在发生时间、范围和强度上都有很好的对应关系。1961—2013年四川盆地区域性暴雨过程次数呈逐渐减少的趋势。区域性暴雨过程综合强度在1991—2013年波动幅度有所增大,并出现逐渐增强的趋势,这可能与区域性暴雨过程持续时间变长和累积雨量增加有关。使用旋转正交函数(REOF)方法对区域性暴雨过程频数进行分区研究,发现最常见的是盆西北型,其次是盆东北型,盆南型出现频次相对最少。3种类型的区域性暴雨过程随时间变化差异明显,尤其近20年盆西北型有逐渐减少的趋势,盆东北型有逐渐增多的趋势,而盆南型则无明显的变化趋势。

    Abstract:

    Based on the daily precipitation data of 104 stations in the Sichuan basin, a new method for identifying Regional Rainstorm Processes (RRP) in the Sichuan basin is established, and its temporal and spatial variation characteristics are analyzed. The research results show that the new method can rule out the influence of the isolated storm site, and identify the RRP quickly and accurately. There are 216 RRPs in the Sichuan basin, which have good correspondence with historical disaster data in time, range, and intensity. The number of RRPs in the Sichuan basin from 1961 to 2013 showed a gradual decrease. The integrated strength gradually increased from 1991 to 2013, which may be related to the duration and increase of accumulated rainfall. The method of rotating orthogonal function (REOF) is used to study the frequency of RRPs in three regions (northwest, northeast, and south). It is found that the most common is the northwest, the second is the northeast, and the south is the least frequently. For the three types of RRPs, the temporal variations are obvious, especially in recent 20 years. There is a trend of gradual decrease in the northwest of the basin, and increase in the northeast, while the south has no obvious change.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文

王春学,马振峰,秦宁生,张顺谦,邓彪.四川盆地区域性暴雨过程的识别及时空变化特征[J].气象科技,2016,44(5):776~782

复制
分享
文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数:
历史
  • 收稿日期:2015-08-20
  • 定稿日期:2016-04-29
  • 录用日期:
  • 在线发布日期: 2016-10-13
  • 出版日期:
您是第位访问者     版权所有:气象科技编辑部    
主办单位:中国气象局气象探测中心,中国气象科学研究院,北京市气象局,国家卫星气象中心,国家气象信息中心
     地址:北京市海淀区中关村南大街46号       邮编:100081      电话 :010-68407256      传真:010-68407256
技术支持:北京勤云科技发展有限公司