基于GRAPES模式模拟强台风“珍珠”数值分析
DOI:
作者:
作者单位:

作者简介:

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

基金项目:

“GRAPES模式在数值天气预报教学中的应用研究”课题资助


GRAPESBased Numerical Experiment on Typhoon Chanchu
Author:
Affiliation:

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 资源附件
  • |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    以T213L30模式产品及常规观测资料为基础,采用GRAPES数值预报模式对强台风“珍珠”(0601)的演变过程进行了数值模拟。结果表明,GRAPES模式对“珍珠”的加强、移动路径和产生的暴雨都有较好的预报能力,尤其是对“珍珠”南海西行突然顺转90°折向北行异常路径的预报较为理想,且登陆点预报准确。通过对形势场(500 hPa高度场、海平面气压场)、物理量场(温度、涡度、垂直速度、散度)、流场的数值模拟分析,认为“珍珠”路径的转折变化与副热带高压的东撤南退、冷空气的变化、越赤道气流的变化、台风的非对称结构有关。

    Abstract:

    Based on the T213 numerical prediction products and the routine radiosonde and surface observation data, the development and movement of the typhoon Chanchu (No.0601) are studied by means of the GRAPESbased numerical experiment. The results show that the GRAPES model has a good ability to forecast the intensification, moving track, and heavy rainfall caused by Chanchu. This model simulated out well the landing spot and especially the track of Chanchu, which made an abrupt clockwise turning from west to north in the central South China Sea. By analysis of the 500 hPa geopotential height and the sealevel pressure fields, as well as temperature, vertical motion and vortex, it is showed that the abrupt turning of the track was related to the adjustment of the general circulation, the movement of cold air, and its own dissymmetrical structure.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文

张兵,薛宇峰,管耀红,范伶俐.基于GRAPES模式模拟强台风“珍珠”数值分析[J].气象科技,2009,37(2):135~140

复制
分享
文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数:
历史
  • 收稿日期:2007-11-14
  • 定稿日期:2008-12-28
  • 录用日期:
  • 在线发布日期:
  • 出版日期:
您是第位访问者
技术支持:北京勤云科技发展有限公司