In order to evaluate service benefit of torrential rain forecasting quantitatively, a mathematical model was build with forecasting accuracy (referred as V), percentage of coverage (referred as P), time validity (referred as N) and damage preventability (referred as Z). Service samples of torrential rain forecasting proved the practicability and maneuverability of the model. Torrential rain forecasting coverage, validity of service and accuracy are in direct proportion to service benefit which is affected by the above three factors, respectively. The stronger capability of preventing weather disaster is, the more benefit is gained from forecasting service. Therefore, torrential rain forecasting service is a kind of information whose value lies on the decision-making and defence capability of the applying information colony.
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姜爱军,屠其璞,陈广昌,田心如.气象预报服务效益评估方法研究——以暴雨预报服务为例.气象科学,2008,(4):435-439 Jiang Aijun, Tu Qipu, Chen Guangchang, Tian Xinru. study on evaluating method of service benefit of torrential rain. Journal of the Meteorological Sciences,2008,(4):435-439